The Shifting Tides

My cousin gives me an elaborate 
explanation on tides 
based on connections to 
full and new moon (supposedly larger ‘spring’ tides 
when sun and moon and Earth are in a line)
as well as half moon (supposedly ‘neap’ tides
when the moon and sun
are at right angles
in relation to the Earth.)

It is a logical explanation.
There are websites that say the same.

But when I observe the reality,
again and again
I see different factors
at work, at least
here on Whadjuk Country—
in Perth.

Here, a peak north or peak south moon 
(the moon highest or lowest in the sky)
corresponds to higher highs
and lower low tides.
While a mid-sky moon
corresponds
to mid or mild tidal ranges,
compact,
often leading to two highs or lows in a day.

Some explanations are tempting
in their generality and application.
But only those reached
through the particular
have any validity.